All noemes

Noeme · p8jusocw

Published finding — does the expert body still believe it?

Grade 3 or 4 treatment-related adverse events occur significantly more frequently with nivolumab plus ipilimumab (55.0%) than with nivolumab monotherapy (16.3%) or ipilimumab monotherapy (27.3%) in untreated metastatic melanoma patients.

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

Among previously untreated patients with metastatic melanoma, nivolumab alone or combined with ipilimumab resulted in significantly longer progression-free survival than ipILimumab alone, and in patients with PD-L1-negative tumors, the combination of PD-1 and CTLA-4 blockade was more effective than either agent alone.

Author-implied confidence

95%

Status

DRAFT

Your position — does this noeme still stand given current evidence?

Consensus 95%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 1.20 bits

Your position is kept on this device until you sign in.

Evidence stream

1 event · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

98% → 98% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 98% → 98%
supports

Peer-reviewed paper

PMID 26027431

Apr 18, 2026

+3pp

Expert reactions · 0

Sign in to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

No reactions yet. Be the first expert to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

Source publication

Combined Nivolumab and Ipilimumab or Monotherapy in Untreated Melanoma.

8.1k citations · S2 4.1k
88 influential
FWCI 430.3 · Landmark
OA · bronze
31 authors · 87% ORCID

· openalex W2166662937 · s2 f1d33462