All noemes
Trial · NCT02062593

Noeme · 165v5o1z

Forecast horizon — calibration-scored at resolution.

By 2028, sham-controlled trials (ORBITA-2 and successors) will define reimbursement criteria for elective PCI in stable CAD.

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

In patients with medically treated angina and severe coronary stenosis, PCI did not increase exercise time by more than the effect of a placebo procedure, and the primary endpoint was difference in exercise time increment between groups.

Your probability this resolves TRUE

Consensus 71%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 0.15 bits

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Evidence stream

2 events · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

71% → 71% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 71% → 71%
neutral

Registry data

NCT02062593

Apr 18, 2026

supports

Peer-reviewed paper

+21pp

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Source publication

Percutaneous coronary intervention in stable angina (ORBITA): a double-blind, randomised controlled trial

Rasha Al-Lamee et al. · The Lancet · 2018

988 citations · S2 799
15 influential
FWCI 115.7 · Landmark
OA · green
64 authors · 59% ORCID

· openalex W2766491028 · s2 1ba069c9