All noemes

Noeme · 2mvj4u8l

Forecast horizon — calibration-scored at resolution.

LCZ696 will demonstrate superiority over enalapril in reducing cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization across diverse real-world HFrEF populations, including those underrepresented in PARADIGM-HF.

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

LCZ696 was superior to enalapril in reducing the risks of death and of hospitalization for heart failure and decreased the symptoms and physical limitations of heart failure.

Author-implied confidence

62%

Current probability

80%

Status

DRAFT

Your probability this resolves TRUE

Consensus 80%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 0.33 bits

Your position is kept on this device until you sign in.

Evidence stream

1 event · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

80% → 80% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 80% → 80%
supports

Peer-reviewed paper

PMID 25176015

Apr 18, 2026

+18pp

Expert reactions · 0

Sign in to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

No reactions yet. Be the first expert to post a take, cite a related claim, or flag a methodological concern.

Source publication

Angiotensin-neprilysin inhibition versus enalapril in heart failure.

6.7k citations
372 influential
FWCI 242.6 · Landmark
OA · bronze
11 authors · 91% ORCID

· openalex W2113698123 · s2 9ca73cac