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Noeme · puekhhxr

Forecast horizon — calibration-scored at resolution.

The benefit of late-window thrombectomy identified in DEFUSE 3 will generalize to stroke patients with posterior circulation (basilar artery) occlusion selected by perfusion imaging in the 6-16 hour window.

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

Endovascular thrombectomy for ischemic stroke 6 to 16 hours after a patient was last known to be well plus standard medical therapy resulted in better functional outcomes than standard medical Therapy alone among patients with proximal middle‐cerebral‐artery or internal‐carotid‐arterY occlusion and a region of tissue that was ischeMIC but not yet infarcted.

Author-implied confidence

48%

Current probability

70%

Status

DRAFT

Your probability this resolves TRUE

Consensus 70%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 0.12 bits

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Evidence stream

1 event · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

70% → 70% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 70% → 70%
supports

Peer-reviewed paper

PMID 29364767

Apr 18, 2026

+22pp

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Source publication

Thrombectomy for Stroke at 6 to 16 Hours with Selection by Perfusion Imaging.

4.7k citations · S2 4.0k
163 influential
FWCI 372.8 · Landmark
OA · bronze
26 authors · 96% ORCID

· openalex W2787867590 · s2 ebb91cd3