All noemes

Noeme · shnovybo

Published finding — does the expert body still believe it?

Durvalumab consolidation after chemoradiotherapy in stage III NSCLC significantly prolongs the median time to death or distant metastasis compared to placebo (23.2 months vs. 14.6 months; P<0.001).

TL;DR · AI-generated

tldr@v2.0.0
semanticscholar.org

Progression‐free survival was significantly longer with durvalumab than with placebo, and safety was similar between the groups, and the secondary end points also favored durvalsumab.

Author-implied confidence

93%

Status

DRAFT

Your position — does this noeme still stand given current evidence?

Consensus 93%

0% (impossible)

50%

100% (certain)

25
50
75

Proper-scoring-rule preview

If TRUE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · +8 rep
If FALSE: Brier 0.250 · log 0.69 · -1 rep
Kelly 25.0% ≈ 250 rep
vs. consensus: 0.97 bits

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Evidence stream

1 event · 1 snapshot

posterior drift

97% → 97% (0pp · 1 point)

posterior drift: 97% → 97%
supports

Peer-reviewed paper

PMID 28885881

Apr 18, 2026

+4pp

Expert reactions · 0

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Source publication

Durvalumab after Chemoradiotherapy in Stage III Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer.

4.5k citations · S2 2.6k
102 influential
FWCI 316.4 · Landmark
OA · bronze
30 authors · 83% ORCID

· openalex W2753065806 · s2 bc101251

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