Forecast horizon — calibration-scored at resolution.
Durvalumab consolidation after chemoradiotherapy will demonstrate a statistically significant overall survival benefit in the final analysis of the PACIFIC trial in stage III unresectable NSCLC.
TL;DR · AI-generated
Progression‐free survival was significantly longer with durvalumab than with placebo, and safety was similar between the groups, and the secondary end points also favored durvalsumab.
Author-implied confidence
82%
Current probability
Status
DRAFT
Your probability this resolves TRUE
0% (impossible)
50%
100% (certain)
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Evidence stream
1 event · 1 snapshot
posterior drift
92% → 92% (0pp · 1 point)
Peer-reviewed paper
Apr 18, 2026
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Source publication
Durvalumab after Chemoradiotherapy in Stage III Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer.
· openalex W2753065806 · s2 bc101251
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